Feb 7, 2025 · Growth has remained solid enough to fuel consumer spending and put the economy on track for a “soft landing” of reining in inflation without triggering a recession.

Jan 28, 2025 · Periods considered are the 12 quarters leading up to the peak rise in recession odds during the early 90s’ recession, the dot.com recession and the Global Financial Crisis. The fitted orange line is a polynomial of order 3 fit, which produced an R-square of 0.92 compared to a linear fit of only 0.46.

Jan 30, 2025 · Fourth-quarter GDP increases at 2.3% rate; Economy grows 2.8% in 2024 versus 2.9% in 2023; Consumer spending growth fastest in nearly two years; Inventory accumulation slows considerably; imports fall

Jan 13, 2025 · U.S. GDP growth increased from 3% in the second quarter to 3.1% in the third quarter of 2024. The latest Federal Reserve economic projections suggest that growth will slow to an annual...

Aug 15, 2024 · In light of recent economic developments, J.P. Morgan Research has raised the probability of a U.S. and global recession starting before end-2024 to 35%. The probability of a recession happening by the end of 2025 remains unchanged at 45%.

Nov 16, 2022 · What is a Growth Recession? Growth recession is an expression coined by economist Solomon Fabricant, a professor at New York University, to describe an economy that is growing at such a slow...

Growth Recession is a term in economics that refers to a situation where economic growth is slow, but not low enough to be a technical recession, yet unemployment still increases. [1]

Jan 25, 2024 · The U.S. economy grew substantially faster in the final months of 2023 than forecasters had expected. For all of last year, the economy grew 3.1% — defying forecasts of a likely recession.

Dec 12, 2022 · In this Q&A, John Cochrane talks about recessions, the relationship between inflation and recession, stagflation — a recession with inflation, and the role the Federal Reserve (the Fed) plays in managing the health of the economy.

Sep 26, 2022 · Is the U.S. in a Recession? What Key Economic Indicators Say. A common rule of thumb for identifying recessions is experiencing two consecutive quarters of negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth.