When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve officially exited its prolonged inversion on Friday, Sept. 6. This marks the end of over two ...

The curve’s slope historically has foretold the future. A positive tilt is associated with an economy likely to expand, as it ...

When investors anticipate a slowing economy, they often demand higher returns on longer-term bonds, leading to an inverted yield curve. Historically, these inversions have frequently preceded ...

The JBBB bond is outperforming high-yield and investment-grade bond funds while offering higher yield and reducing risk.

The Government debt binge has slowed in the latest month, adding only $2B in new debt for January. Click to read.

The U.S. Treasury curve inversion—where shorter-dated bond yields are higher than those of longer-dated bond yields—is the longest on record, Ralph Axel and Katie Craig, analysts at Bank of ...

The move points to a flattening of the yield curve, which has been inverted for 507 trading days, the longest stretch in data going back to 1977. The Fed is expected to start cutting interest ...

This sharp rise in long-term rates has led to a meaningful steepening of the yield curve, as the curve quickly transitioned from inversion to steepness. While yield-curve steepening is typical in ...

That would mirror the verdict of the inverted yield curve which has suggested a U.S. recession is more likely than not for the past 2 years. The Sahm rule forecasts recessions based on a 0.5% rise ...