Claudia Sahm, the economist who developed the Sahm Rule, has stated that the U.S. is not currently in a recession. However, she has warned of an increased risk of recession, advocating for ...

Consumers don't care for negative surprises. That's why so many companies affix carefully worded warning labels on everyday goods, ranging from hot coffee cups to hand mixers. And for safety ...

Economist Claudia Sahm, creator of the eponymous Sahm Rule, has responded to recent criticism of her economic indicator, asserting its importance in discussions about the U.S. labor market and ...

Claudia Sahm's recession indicator, the Sahm Rule, has been triggered for the first time since 2020. But Sahm believes the current signal is a false positive due to rising labor force participation.

But for roughly five decades it has predicted every downturn. The Sahm rule is named for noted economist Claudia Sahm, who has accurately forecast every U.S. recession since the 1970s. Need a break?

The economist tells MarketWatch the unusual features of this economy mean that if the Sahm rule was going to break, it would be during this period Even economist Claudia Sahm admits that her ...

Nothing else matters. It’s something to keep in mind as the “Sahm Rule” gains currency yet again. It’s named after former Federal Reserve economist Claudia Sahm, who gained name ...

The Sahm rule, named for its creator, the economist Claudia Sahm, uses the difference between the three-month moving average of the unemployment rate and the past-12-month low. If the difference ...

Claudia Sahm is the chief economist at New Century Advisors and a former Federal Reserve economist. She is the creator of the Sahm rule, a recession indicator. The US is not in a recession ...

Nothing else matters. It’s something to keep in mind as the “Sahm Rule” gains currency yet again. It’s named after former Federal Reserve economist Claudia Sahm, who gained name ...

“It's not like an economic rule, where it's telling you something must happen.” Claudia Sahm, the economist whom the indicator is named after, would agree. “Indicators of economic downturns ...

You see, there’s a good chance that this Friday’s employment report will trigger another recession indicator, the Sahm Rule, named after Claudia Sahm, a former Federal Reserve economist who is ...