The Yield Curve Is Inverted—but There’s No Recession. What Gives?
The economist Robert Solow, who died in December, once said that everything reminded Milton Friedman, his fellow Nobel ...
A More Commodious Curve
Through 2023 and 2024, the spread between bond yields and cash rates was persistently and sometimes deeply negative. Read ...
JD Supra28d
What the Yield Curve Inversion and the Sahm Rule Signal: Key Implications for Company Valuations
When investors anticipate a slowing economy, they often demand higher returns on longer-term bonds, leading to an inverted yield curve. Historically, these inversions have frequently preceded ...
CBS News3d
What are today's CD interest rates?
The phenomenon is called the inverted yield curve. "This means rates are highest for short term CDs and treasuries and actually are lower as you go out further in time," says Donald F. Dempsey ...
Forbes11mon
U.S. Recession Risk May Be Rising According To These Metrics
That would mirror the verdict of the inverted yield curve which has suggested a U.S. recession is more likely than not for the past 2 years. The Sahm rule forecasts recessions based on a 0.5% rise ...
Bitcoin Magazine13d
How Declining Short-Term U.S. Treasury Yields Impact Bitcoin Price
How shifting Treasury yields signal economic uncertainty and why Bitcoin could benefit as both a risk-on and safe-haven asset ...
SAS Weekly U.K. Gilt Yield And Pound Sterling Simulation, January 31, 2025: Median Pound/Dollar Exchange Rate 1.2347 One Year Forward
Our weekly simulation for Gilt yields. Read the latest update, as of January 31, 2025. Read the full report on Seeking Alpha.
U.S. News & World Report27d
Inverted Swaps Curve Shows Investors Pare China Rate Cut Bets
Yuan interest rate swaps (IRS), which domestic investors use to hedge as well as express their views on rates, have been inverted for nearly ... widening China-U.S. bond yield differentials ...